Thursday, February 4
11 a.m. Pacific
Noon Mountain
1 p.m. Central
2 p.m. Eastern
Russia’s trajectory over the next decade is often discussed in terms of a single variable: the war, the sanctions, or Vladimir Putin himself. This talk argues that the country’s future will be shaped by several pressures acting at once: an economy reorganized around military production, a political system with no tested mechanism for succession, a deepening and unequal dependence on China, demographic decline, and a society whose loyalties are harder to read than either the Kremlin or its critics assume. Drawing on the tools of intelligence analysis, the talk examines what we can reasonably know, what we cannot, and which signals are worth watching as Russia moves toward an uncertain transition.
Speaker
Dr. Alexandra Sukalo
Director of the Intelligence Studies Project
Dr. Alexandra Sukalo
Director of the Intelligence Studies Project